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Covid cases falling steadily in India but rising in UK, Brazil & Russia

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After dipping below the 50,000 mark on Monday, a day that typically reports the week’s lowest cases, there has been a marginal increase in the case count on Tuesday and Wednesday when once again the 50k benchmark was breached. Although Wednesday saw 53,920 cases and 971 deaths, the weekly trend based on seven day’s rolling average is showing an overall decline in cases.

On Wednesday, the sevenday rolling average of daily cases, a more reliable indicator to capture long-term trends, fell to 54,380, which is at the same level as the average in the last week of March.

Despite the decline in cases in India, the international picture is not very encouraging. Many countries are again witnessing a surge in cases. The seven-day rolling average of cases was 73,595 for Brazil which has now overtaken India and is the world’s worst-affected country in this yardstick.

Similarly for Colombia — the world’s third worst-hit country in daily cases — the average reached its peak value for this month on June 19 when the country saw 27,812 cases. It has remained at that level since then. Russia, Indonesia, South Africa and the UK are also going through a phase of rise in cases. All of them reported this month’s highest average cases on June 23. Even in our neighborhood, cases are steadily increasing in Bangladesh, Afghanistan and Myanmar – they too reported this month’s highest average case on June 23.

Among states, Kerala reported 12,787 cases, the highest among states, and was followed by Maharashtra (10,066 cases). These two are the only states to report over 10,000 cases on Wednesday. Seven other states reported over a thousand cases on Wednesday, led by Tamil Nadu with 6,596 cases and Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka with 4,684 and 4,436 cases respectively. The case count was between 1,000 and 4,000 for Odisha, Assam, West Bengal and Telangana. Four states reported over a hundred deaths, with Tamil Nadu reporting 166 deaths, highest among the states.

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